Wyoming County Projections

The county projections, like the statewide projections, were forecasted using Exponential Smoothing and Linear Regression. We used the historical period, from January 1989 through December 1996, to find a model to fit or predict the data series in the validation period, January 1997 through December 1997. Only 7.2 percent (20) of all the time series that were modeled produced an error more than 2 percent plus/minus.

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The four major industries in Natrona County are Wholesale Trade, Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Natrona County is anticipated to grow 6.2 percent through 1999. The major industries expected to grow are Mining, Construction, and Services.

Natrona County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	292	305	306	313
% CHNG	0.6	4.3	0.4	2.3
MINING	1,800	2,015	2,144	2,122
% CHNG	-6.2	12.0	6.4	-1.0
CONST	1,619	1,756	1,880	1,880
% CHNG	-3.7	8.5	7.1	0.0
MFG	1,547	1,510	1,499	1,499
% CHNG	-3.3	-2.4	-0.7	0.0
TCPU	1,440	1,561	1,538	1,533
% CHNG	-3.2	8.4	-1.5	-0.3
W_TRD	2,191	2,307	2,364	2,364
% CHNG	0.1	5.3	2.5	0.0
R_TRD	6,268	6,089	6,036	6,083
% CHNG	0.0	-2.8	-0.9	0.8
FIRE	1,155	1,188	1,176	1,126
% CHNG	1.8	2.8	-1.0	-4.3
SRVCS	7,355	7,760	7,982	8,238
% CHNG	1.2	5.5	2.9	3.2
F_GOVT	643	631	642	636
% CHNG	-2.8	-1.8	1.7	-0.9
S_GOVT	694	701	712	712
% CHNG	-8.1	1.1	1.5	0.0
L_GOVT	3,460	3,619	3,668	3,715
% CHNG	-1.3	4.6	1.4	1.3
TOTAL	28,464	29,442	29,947	30,220
% CHNG	-1.0	3.4	1.7	0.9

The three major industries in Niobrara County are Retail Trade, State Government, and Local Government. Niobrara County is anticipated to remain flat (no growth) through 1999. The two major industries projected to grow are Mining and Manufacturing. The two major industries projected to decline are Retail Trade and Services.

Niobrara County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	12	11	10	8
% CHNG	13.0	-8.1	-10.8	-16.1
MINING	19	36	45	45
% CHNG	-4.6	88.2	25.4	0.0
CONST	40	34	44	44
% CHNG	7.4	-16.2	31.0	0.0
MFG	3	10	16	24
% CHNG	-15.2	194.9	69.7	46.5
TCPU	27	30	30	31
% CHNG	12.7	7.9	1.6	3.4
W_TRD	21	29	34	36
% CHNG	-1.2	40.9	18.9	3.7
R_TRD	191	163	169	169
% CHNG	9.2	-14.5	3.4	0.0
FIRE	22	22	20	19
% CHNG	-24.9	-1.5	-7.1	-6.4
SRVCS	120	76	68	63
% CHNG	6.3	-36.7	-11.1	-6.6
F_GOVT	23	24	25	23
% CHNG	-5.5	4.4	3.3	-4.4
S_GOVT	66	71	70	70
% CHNG	4.5	6.9	-1.2	0.0
L_GOVT	276	283	295	295
% CHNG	1.0	2.6	4.1	0.0
TOTAL	821	788	826	827
% CHNG	3.2	-4.0	4.8	0.2

The three major industries in Park County are Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Park County is anticipated to grow 3.0 percent through 1999. The major industries contributing to growth are Retail Trade; Finance, Insurance, & Real Estate (FIRE); and Services.

Park County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	246	290	262	262
% CHNG	-12.7	18.2	-9.6	0.0
MINING	479	505	463	432
% CHNG	-1.2	5.3	-8.3	-6.6
CONST	962	779	770	770
% CHNG	1.7	-19.0	-1.1	0.0
MFG	536	520	549	567
% CHNG	3.0	-2.8	5.5	3.3
TCPU	430	435	451	451
% CHNG	1.8	1.3	3.6	0.0
W_TRD	312	344	354	348
% CHNG	-3.7	10.0	3.1	-1.7
R_TRD	2,415	2,377	2,456	2,523
% CHNG	-2.1	-1.6	3.3	2.8
FIRE	394	433	452	471
% CHNG	2.5	10.1	4.4	4.1
SRVCS	2,708	2,811	2,947	3,068
% CHNG	0.5	3.8	4.8	4.1
F_GOVT	830	783	750	750
% CHNG	-4.9	-5.6	-4.2	0.0
S_GOVT	196	203	212	220
% CHNG	8.7	3.5	4.2	4.0
L_GOVT	1,954	2,008	1,930	1,943
% CHNG	1.1	2.8	-3.9	0.7
TOTAL	11,461	11,489	11,596	11,806
% CHNG	-0.4	0.2	0.9	1.8

The three major industries in Platte County are Transportation, Communications, & Public Utilities (TCPU); Retail Trade; and Local Government. Platte County is anticipated to grow 10.4 percent through 1999. The major industries contributing to growth are Agriculture, Retail Trade, and Services.

Platte County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	74	100	124	133
% CHNG	8.9	36.2	23.9	7.4
MINING	39	39	41	41
% CHNG	3.7	0.0	5.5	0.0
CONST	153	202	191	191
% CHNG	-8.7	31.9	-5.4	0.0
MFG	71	83	93	99
% CHNG	4.8	16.6	12.7	6.9
TCPU	533	535	538	541
% CHNG	-3.5	0.3	0.5	0.6
W_TRD	65	74	82	85
% CHNG	5.0	13.9	9.9	3.3
R_TRD	621	673	725	725
% CHNG	3.4	8.5	7.8	0.0
FIRE	69	71	66	65
% CHNG	-12.6	2.0	-6.6	-1.8
SRVCS	441	467	483	501
% CHNG	5.3	5.8	3.4	3.8
F_GOVT	106	103	102	100
% CHNG	-6.7	-3.1	-0.5	-2.1
S_GOVT	130	134	152	152
% CHNG	7.8	2.4	13.7	0.0
L_GOVT	713	695	699	698
% CHNG	0.4	-2.5	0.6	-0.2
TOTAL	3,016	3,175	3,295	3,330
% CHNG	0.6	5.3	3.8	1.1

The three major industries in Sheridan County are Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Sheridan County is anticipated to grow 3.9 percent through 1999. The major industries expected to grow are Agriculture, Construction, Manufacturing, and Services.

Sheridan County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	313	326	343	347
% CHNG	6.8	4.0	5.2	1.1
MINING	43	29	24	24
% CHNG	-13.9	-33.1	-16.9	0.0
CONST	729	759	842	887
% CHNG	10.9	4.1	11.0	5.3
MFG	392	426	426	426
% CHNG	1.4	8.8	0.0	0.0
TCPU	349	358	355	356
% CHNG	-6.5	2.7	-0.9	0.3
W_TRD	358	330	320	320
% CHNG	-2.4	-7.9	-3.1	0.0
R_TRD	2,316	2,294	2,287	2,329
% CHNG	-4.2	-0.9	-0.3	1.8
FIRE	473	428	429	430
% CHNG	-3.0	-9.6	0.2	0.2
SRVCS	2,584	2,647	2,720	2,819
% CHNG	-1.0	2.4	2.7	3.6
F_GOVT	654	623	627	627
% CHNG	-6.1	-4.7	0.7	0.0
S_GOVT	301	318	324	324
% CHNG	0.8	5.8	1.7	0.0
L_GOVT	1,785	1,821	1,787	1,812
% CHNG	2.2	2.0	-1.9	1.4
TOTAL	10,298	10,359	10,483	10,700
% CHNG	-0.8	0.6	1.2	2.1

The four major industries in Sublette County are Mining, Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Sublette County is anticipated to remain flat (no growth) through 1999. The two major industries projected to grow are Construction and Retail Trade. The one major industry projected to have the greatest decline is TCPU.

Sublette County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	90	91	89	96
% CHNG	-7.5	0.8	-2.4	8.4
MINING	266	311	255	255
% CHNG	6.9	17.0	-18.0	0.0
CONST	168	171	205	205
% CHNG	3.1	1.9	19.4	0.0
MFG	32	34	41	44
% CHNG	5.1	6.2	20.3	5.2
TCPU	98	76	64	59
% CHNG	2.1	-22.1	-16.6	-7.6
W_TRD	29	31	31	29
% CHNG	-13.8	6.4	2.1	-7.7
R_TRD	374	386	398	414
% CHNG	2.4	3.1	3.2	4.0
FIRE	52	51	49	51
% CHNG	-6.3	-3.5	-2.6	2.6
SRVCS	337	325	334	341
% CHNG	3.0	-3.6	2.8	2.2
F_GOVT	98	94	87	87
% CHNG	1.0	-4.3	-7.5	0.0
S_GOVT	62	63	59	58
% CHNG	-2.1	1.2	-5.9	-1.0
L_GOVT	415	407	413	421
% CHNG	-0.1	-1.9	1.5	1.9
TOTAL	2,021	2,038	2,024	2,059
% CHNG	1.4	0.9	-0.7	1.7

The three major industries in Sweetwater County are Mining, Retail Trade, and Local Government. Sweetwater County is anticipated to grow 2.0 percent through 1999. The major industries contributing to growth are Construction, Retail Trade and FIRE.

Sweetwater County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	48	38	38	38
% CHNG	-7.7	-21.5	-0.2	0.0
MINING	3,846	3,844	3,840	3,746
% CHNG	-20.5	-0.1	-0.1	-2.4
CONST	1,172	1,248	1,381	1,381
% CHNG	-16.9	6.5	10.7	0.0
MFG	1,428	1,393	1,458	1,459
% CHNG	137.1	-2.5	4.7	0.0
TCPU	1,489	1,463	1,470	1,470
% CHNG	-7.5	-1.7	0.4	0.0
W_TRD	547	569	548	535
% CHNG	-9.3	4.0	-3.7	-2.2
R_TRD	3,350	3,444	3,592	3,664
% CHNG	-2.2	2.8	4.3	2.0
FIRE	471	556	568	588
% CHNG	-3.6	18.1	2.1	3.6
SRVCS	2,835	2,796	2,820	2,819
% CHNG	0.7	-1.4	0.8	0.0
F_GOVT	274	257	258	254
% CHNG	-2.1	-6.1	0.2	-1.5
S_GOVT	261	259	257	257
% CHNG	0.4	-0.9	-0.8	0.0
L_GOVT	3,242	3,168	3,135	3,126
% CHNG	-0.5	-2.3	-1.0	-0.3
TOTAL	18,962	19,034	19,365	19,338
% CHNG	-3.4	0.4	1.7	-0.1

The three major industries in Teton County are Construction, Retail Trade, and Services. Teton County is anticipated to grow 12.3 percent through 1999. The major industries contributing to growth are Construction, Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government.

Teton County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	193	222	296	317
% CHNG	37.5	15.0	33.4	7.2
MINING	3	4	4	4
% CHNG	38.5	27.8	0.0	0.0
CONST	1,449	1,574	1,744	1,825
% CHNG	-8.8	8.6	10.8	4.7
MFG	358	349	393	409
% CHNG	1.8	-2.6	12.6	4.2
TCPU	448	487	511	539
% CHNG	4.2	8.8	4.9	5.6
W_TRD	141	152	144	144
% CHNG	-0.5	7.8	-5.5	0.0
R_TRD	3,405	3,395	3,453	3,569
% CHNG	2.5	-0.3	1.7	3.4
FIRE	508	551	559	559
% CHNG	0.5	8.3	1.5	0.0
SRVCS	5,452	5,610	5,895	6,141
% CHNG	1.3	2.9	5.1	4.2
F_GOVT	373	358	321	321
% CHNG	-1.9	-4.1	-10.3	0.0
S_GOVT	81	89	87	89
% CHNG	1.7	9.2	-1.7	2.5
L_GOVT	1,245	1,292	1,354	1,415
% CHNG	2.4	3.7	4.9	4.5
TOTAL	13,658	14,081	14,760	15,332
% CHNG	0.9	3.1	4.8	3.9

The three major industries in Uinta County are Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Uinta County is anticipated to grow 1.7 percent through 1999. The major industries expected to grow are Construction, Retail Trade, and Services.

Uinta County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	45	48	53	54
% CHNG	25.4	6.1	11.3	1.6
MINING	691	695	742	711
% CHNG	-11.5	0.6	6.8	-4.2
CONST	506	631	644	644
% CHNG	-1.0	24.7	2.0	0.0
MFG	260	224	256	289
% CHNG	5.1	-14.0	14.7	12.9
TCPU	579	482	452	420
% CHNG	-1.1	-16.6	-6.4	-7.0
W_TRD	167	179	174	174
% CHNG	0.1	7.2	-2.5	0.0
R_TRD	1,670	1,684	1,704	1,745
% CHNG	0.1	0.9	1.1	2.5
FIRE	168	169	170	170
% CHNG	1.9	0.3	0.5	0.0
SRVCS	1,778	1,801	1,894	1,894
% CHNG	6.5	1.3	5.2	0.0
F_GOVT	81	82	80	80
% CHNG	0.4	1.7	-2.9	0.0
S_GOVT	587	558	553	557
% CHNG	0.2	-4.8	-1.0	0.8
L_GOVT	1,475	1,441	1,407	1,407
% CHNG	1.8	-2.3	-2.3	0.0
TOTAL	8,007	7,994	8,129	8,147
% CHNG	0.8	-0.2	1.7	0.2

The four major industries in Washakie County are Manufacturing, Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Washakie County is anticipated to grow 8.0 percent through 1999. The major industries projected to grow are Agriculture, Mining, and Services.

Washakie County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	100	122	132	142
% CHNG	-6.5	21.9	8.2	7.5
MINING	205	326	368	391
% CHNG	14.4	59.2	13.0	6.2
CONST	186	178	180	180
% CHNG	1.8	-4.3	1.2	0.0
MFG	524	505	512	522
% CHNG	2.8	-3.7	1.5	1.9
TCPU	276	271	265	265
% CHNG	4.3	-1.5	-2.2	0.0
W_TRD	131	118	116	116
% CHNG	1.5	-9.3	-2.2	0.0
R_TRD	661	616	635	648
% CHNG	-1.0	-6.8	2.9	2.2
FIRE	112	117	119	119
% CHNG	-7.5	4.8	1.4	0.0
SRVCS	630	673	725	758
% CHNG	1.2	6.8	7.7	4.5
F_GOVT	146	148	145	142
% CHNG	-2.7	1.2	-2.2	-1.8
S_GOVT	156	166	166	166
% CHNG	0.4	5.9	0.4	0.0
L_GOVT	542	479	522	510
% CHNG	1.9	-11.5	9.0	-2.2
TOTAL	3,668	3,720	3,885	3,960
% CHNG	1.3	1.4	4.4	1.9

The four major industries in Weston County are Mining, Retail Trade, Services, and Local Government. Weston County is anticipated to grow 1.7 percent through 1999. All the major industries are projected to remain relatively flat.

Weston County
Short-term Projections to 1999

	1996	1997	1998	1999
AGRI	11	10	13	13
% CHNG	-21.7	-9.5	26.8	0.0
MINING	256	269	274	274
% CHNG	0.5	5.1	1.7	0.0
CONST	50	51	54	50
% CHNG	-29.6	1.2	5.9	-7.5
MFG	191	207	206	206
% CHNG	-2.9	8.4	-0.5	0.0
TCPU	163	165	171	171
% CHNG	-4.7	1.3	3.7	0.0
W_TRD	8	15	13	11
% CHNG	22.2	85.9	-14.1	-19.6
R_TRD	432	387	388	388
% CHNG	-1.6	-10.4	0.3	0.0
FIRE	64	67	69	70
% CHNG	-1.8	4.5	2.6	1.0
SRVCS	277	281	306	313
% CHNG	-3.7	1.3	8.8	2.3
F_GOVT	63	58	55	55
% CHNG	-3.0	-6.6	-6.4	0.0
S_GOVT	86	88	89	89
% CHNG	5.5	2.5	1.5	0.0
L_GOVT	528	525	527	527
% CHNG	-1.4	-0.6	0.5	0.0
TOTAL	2,129	2,124	2,164	2,166
% CHNG	-2.7	-0.3	1.9	0.1

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